2009
was a terrible year, but it closed in better shape. Global electronic
equipment shipment “growth” was negative for four consecutive
quarters (4Q08 to 3Q09), but it then “recovered” in the fourth
quarter of 2009 with an estimated 7 percent quarterly increase versus
4Q08 (Chart 10). To be fair, this 7 percent expansion was relative to
a very bad quarter of the prior year–but we are growing again!
Based upon preliminary results (not
all companies in our sample have reported 4Q09 financials as we write
this column), most sectors of the global electronics food chain
declined for the full year of 2009 (Chart 2). Only military and
medical electronics and the Taiwan-listed ODMs (Original Design
Manufacturers) expanded last year. However, the fourth quarter was a
different story (Chart 3) as most sectors enjoyed decent growth
(admittedly vs. a bad 4Q08).
Chart 4 shows the annual (12/12) and
fourth quarter (3/12) growth for the U.S. electronics food chain.
Break even=100. Most groups are improving with a few already in
positive territory. The exception is defense electronics, which
appears to be weakening.
Chart 5 provides 3-month (3/12) growth
rates for domestically shipped printed circuit boards, PCB process
equipment, and finished electronic equipment. All three are moving
into the growth phases of their present business cycles.
Chart 6 depicts global, monthly PCB
shipments (converted to U.S. dollars) from 1999 to the present. If
you remember our prognostications of a year ago, we predicted a 22
percent world PCB decline for 2009. The final result was a 20 percent
drop. For 2010 (using the monthly seasonality of 2006 as a model), we
predict +14 percent global PCB growth at constant exchange rates.
We’ll update our global model and track our prediction throughout
2010.
A 14 percent PCB increase would be
welcome. Whatever the case, we are growing again!
Japanese PWB manufacturers invested 84
billion yen in 2009, almost half compared to 2008. - Sangyo Times
Korea’s PCB industry revenue
increased 8 percent y/y to KRW 12 trillion in 2009, (6-6.2 trillion
in PCBs, KRW 1.9 trillion in parts, materials and chemical
substances, and KRW 1.1 trillion in PCB outsourcing). - Korea Printed
Circuit Association Survey
Market for printed and potentially
printed electronics, including organics, inorganics, and composites,
will rise from $1.92 billion in 2009 to $57.16 billion in 2019. -
IDTechEx
Printed Circuit Board and Multi-Chip
Module EDA 3Q09 revenue increased 1.5 percent y/y to $132.9 million.
Virginia facility received
electronics Nadcap accreditation from Performance Review
Institute.
DNP:
developed low height wire
bonding process for embedded component circuit boards.
established manufacturing
process for world's thinnest circuit boards (0.38mm) for embedded
components using B2it technology.
Electronic Interconnect welcomed Widge
Merrill to its New England representative, Lighthouse Technical
Sales.
Endicott Interconnect Technologies’
Endicott facility received Nadcap SAE Aerospace Standard AS7003
electronics accreditation.
Epec Engineered Technologies began
offering quick turn flex and rigid-flex PCBs.
Firan Technology Group parent,
Glendale International, declared bankruptcy.
Gemini Data Loggers purchased a
Speedline Speedprint SP210avi stencil printer.
Graphic PLC added an Orbotech S.A
Sprint-8 inkjet legend printer.
GSPK:
added an Irish sales
office.
received TS 16949 and ISO
9001 accreditations.
Invotec was awarded AS9100
certification.
ISU Petasys’ Sylmar CA facility
received International Traffic in Arm Regulation (ITAR) registration
from the U.S. Dept. of State, Office of Defense Trade Controls
Compliance.
ITO Industries (Bristol, Wisconsin)
received ITAR registration.
Lazer -Tech and Bare Board Group
formed a manufacturing and distribution alliance.
Lenthor Engineering added a Burkle
vacuum lam press MTV100, Chemcut 547 XL, Ishii Hyoki micro etch line
(alternative oxide cobrabond modified), and Ishii Hyoki aluminum
oxide jet scrubbing system with chemical pre-cleaning.
Macer Sweden appointed Juha Valdolin
as its sales representative for Finland and the Baltics.
Merix received a Loss Prevention
Achievement Award for 2008-2009 award from Liberty Northwest.
Murrietta Circuits added ACE KISS 103
and KISS 104 selective solder machines.
New Sabina Industries plans to move
its printed circuit board production to Monterrey, Mexico, in two
years.
Sulakshana Circuits (Hyderabad India)
added a Cemco lead-free compatible Quicksilver hot solder leveler.
Tramonto Circuits named Tara Dunn,
National Sales Manager.
Unimicron acquired a 40 percent stake
in Maruwa, 30 percent stake in Uniflex Technology, and 35 percent of
Ruwel in order to strengthen its FPCB and automotive segments.
Ventec up-scaled IMS production to
half sheet format.
Materials and process equipment
Global lithium ion battery materials
are expected to grow from 306.6 billion yen in 2009 to 652.1 billion
yen in 2014. - Fuji Keizai Co.
Global specialty films market will
grow at 6.1 percent CAGR from USD22.18 billion in 2009 to USD29.77
billion by 2014. - Pira International
Global SMT placement equipment
revenues are expected to grow from $1,740.5 million in 2008 and to
$2,498.5 million in 2015. - Frost & Sullivan
Acculogic Manufacturing Test Systems
opened a testing services and support satellite office in Laguna
Hills, Calif.
AdoptSMT Group opened a new 600 sq. m.
London office.
Assembléon:
Nordic was renamed Nordic
SMT.
started SUPREME
(SUstainable PRoduction EquipMEnt) research project with the
Technical University of Eindhoven, TNO, Xycarb Ceramics, Tegema Group
en Fiberworx.
atg Luther & Maelzer promoted
Martin Faulhaber to Managing Director of global atg-LM group.
Beckhoff acquired Smyczek GmbH &
Co. KG.
BPM Microsystems named William White
CEO, replacing retired Lyman Brown.
Christopher Associates released new
SPC software for Koh Young solder paste inspection systems.
Computronics released its BEN-Z300
bench lead-free wave solder machine.
Conexant appointed Phillip Pompa Sr.
VP of Product Marketing.
Cookson:
appointed Peter Hill and
François Wanecq to its board.
Altoona, Pa., electronics'
laboratory achieved ISO 17025 accreditation.
DEK launches its new VectorGuard®
double layer platinum stencil.
Dow Corning opened a Warsaw office for
silicon-based materials and solutions.
Etek Europe began purchasing and
stocking Aqueous Technologies’ automated defluxing, stencil
cleaning, and cleanliness testing equipment.
Goepel electronics added a third
building at its headquarters in Jena, Germany.
Heraeus acquired Lord Corporation’s
thick film cermet product line.
IBL Vapour Phase named Blundell its UK
soldering equipment representative.
Japan Gore-Tex commercialized LCP film
with high thickness accuracy suitable for high-frequency flexible
printed circuit boards.
KEERS Technologies entered the
refurbished feeder business.
Kuraray introduced two grades of
liquid crystal polymer film for flexible printed circuit boards,
multilayer circuit boards and white light emitting diode
substrates.
Kyzen appointed Yankee Tronics as its
representative for upstate New York.
Mentor Graphics added full-wave 3D
electromagnetic analysis functionality for PCB design.
Microscan introduced a new track,
trace, and control solution.
Micro-tec unveiled copper paste fine
line (30 micron) printing technology.
Milara and Mirae combined technologies
to produce a printer and pick-and-place system.
MIRTEC was named one of Inc. 5000
fastest growing companies in 2009.
Mydata appointed Oempartners as its
representative in Eastern Canada including Ontario and Points
East.
Nordson YESTECH appointed Kevin Garcia
as Regional Sales Manager.
Orpro Vision appointed David Llewellyn
European Sales & Distribution Manager.
Panasonic Factory Solutions named
Assembly Products its representative for Massachusetts, Connecticut,
New Hampshire, Vermont, Maine, and Rhode Island.
Park Electrochemical appointed Susan
Macaluso to Program Manager, Jean-Francois Le Rouzic to Director of
Marketing and Sales in Europe and Mark Carlson to Director of Global
RF Marketing.
R&D Technical Services named ARK
Manufacturing Solutions its representative for Arizona, New Mexico
and Southern Nevada.
Seho named Laryo S.R.L. its exclusive
distributor in Italy.
Sigrity introduced an electrical and
thermal co-simulation tool for IC package and printed circuit board
design.
SMART Group introduced new solder
paste assessment test.
Sonoscan developed analytical
techniques that separate counterfeit plastic IC packages from genuine
packages.
Spectra-Physics introduced a high
power 355 nm industrial laser for via hole drilling and flex circuit
cutting.
Union Tool plans to increase printed
circuit board drill unit sales by 61 percent y/y to 354 million units
in 2010.
Vitronics Soltec:
entered new distribution
partnership agreement with GPS Technologies GmbH.
eliminated its Advanced
Technology Group.
XJTAG introduced second generation
boundary scan test system.
EMS, ODM, and Related Assembly Activity
Advertisement
Worldwide EMS and ODM provider revenue
will rise 7.8 percent y/y to $280.8 billion in 2010. - iSuppli
World’s top 100 connector
manufacturers recorded 2008 shipments of $38.258 billion; 87 percent
of connector market. - Bishop and Associates
ACW Technology is building its first
manufacturing facility in the U.S in Durham.
Altrel appointed Bertnard Demoule
Director of Eolane group.
Axiom Electronics received AS9100 and
ESD S20.20-2007 certifications.
Bitron Sosnowiec (South Poland) went
on strike over salary.
Catalyst Manufacturing Services
received AS9100 Aerospace certification in Endicott, New York,
Raleigh, North Carolina, and Tijuana, Mexico.
Celestica:
acquired Invec
Solutions.
invested $2.8 million+ to
establish a metrology laboratory in its Suzhou, China, facility.
Healthcare Division
appointed Nancy Duarte-Lonnroth, Director of Quality, Regulatory
Affairs; Richard Rubin, Director of Market Development; and Michael
Sobolewski, Director of Sales and Business Development.
Compal Broadband Networks acquired
Motorola’s Euro Docsis CPE business units for NT300 million
(USD9.43 million).
CTS produced redesigned (post-recall)
Toyota gas pedal parts in three plants.
EE Technologies added a high speed
rapid prototyping line in Reno, Nevada.
Elcoteq:
issued EUR 29 Million
hybrid securities to repay outstanding subordinated debt.
Monterrey, Mexico received
Customs-Trade Partnership Against Terrorism (C-TPAT) security
certification.
received contract to build
Inmarsat sat phones in Estonia.
will expand its Tallinn
Estonia facility in 2Q10.
began offering after market
support for Nokia.
FCT Assembly:
received ISO 9001:2008
certification.
appointed ARK Manufacturing
Solutions as its representative for Arizona, New Mexico, and Southern
Nevada.
Flextronics:
re-hired workers in
Timisoara, Romania.
experienced supply chain
shortages in 3Q.
Foxconn/ Hon Hai:
is constructing 1,000
hectare industrial park in Hai An District,Vietnam.
entered talks to buy
Motorola Israel’s Arad plant.
offered 500,000-yuan
(USD73,219) reward regarding employee’s January 2010 death.
set up China LED epitaxial
wafer joint venture with Nichia.
added 30,000 employees in
Shenzhen.
signed one billion SMD LED
lead frames/month supply agreement with Chang Wah.
is building an NB PC
integrated supply chain in Chongqing, China.
received order for five
million LCD TVs from Samsung.
Hansatech EMS implemented LEAN
manufacturing and reduced NPI cycle times by 40 percent.
IMI:
listed 1.137 billion common
shares in the Philippine Stock Exchange.
is closing its Philippines
LCD assembly unit.
Incap will close down its Vokatti
factory and transfer production to Estonia in 2010.
Integrated Ideas & Technologies
named Matthew Associates its SMT and Metal Fabrication for Maine,
Vermont, New Hampshire, Connecticut, Massachusetts, and Rhode
Island.
Inventec plans to expand its server
R&D center in Taoyuan, Taiwan, from 1,400 workers to 3,000 in
2012.
Jabil:
Cassina de Pecchi, Italy
plant went on strike over change in hours worked.
started 45 MW solar module
line in Chihuahua, Mexico, to accomodate BP Solar assembly
contract.
cut 1,500 jobs in Jalisco,
Mexico, due to lower BlackBerry shipments.
Kitron received a 2.5 million
defense order from Kongsberg Group.
Mack Technologies became PCBA services
provider for Performance Technologies (Rochester, NY).
Manncorp introduced seven new
electronic assembly turnkey lines with throughput rates ranging from
prototyping to 10,500 CPH.
Matric (Seneca, Pa.) received AS 9100
certification.
Mikroelektronika added a new testing
facility in Brno, Czech Republic.
NBS installed additional SMT line at
its headquarters facility in Santa Clara, California.
Northstar Electronics received
contract add-on from L-3 to build consoles for the Canadian Navy’s
Halifax Class Frigate Upgrade Program.
Note appointed Göran Jansson to CEO
and President.
Plexus:
appointed Steve Gearhart to
CIO.
established legal entity in
Germany, Plexus Deutschland GmbH.
named Christin Taege,
European Customer Manager and Rena Thomas, European Business
Development Director.
PKC Wiring Systems:
ended Kempele, Finland
operations.
appointed Harri Ojala
Managing Director.
Qualastat Electronics will move into
its new 13,175 sq. ft. Chandler headquarters in June, 2010.
Qual-Pro appointed Richard Fitzgerald
to COO.
Quanta Computers began building its
third Chinese mainland manufacturing base in Chongqing.
Remploy Electronics appointed Tony
Harrison Key Account Manager.
Sanmina-SCI:
San Jose, California, PCB
facility received AS9100 Aerospace certification.
Became EMS provider for
broadband, IPTV and NGN solutions products manufactured at
UTStarcom’s Hangzhou facility.
SMTC regained compliance with the
minimum bid price requirement of The Nasdaq stock market.
STI Electronics received
ISO14644-1:1999 certification.
Surmotech added an ERSA Versaflow 3
selective soldering machine.
Syrma Technology joined wireless
industry consortium DASH7.
TECHMA U.S.A., Inc. will begin closing
its Gretna, Va., manufacturing operations March 19, 2010.
Technical Manufacturing Corporation
celebrated its 25th anniversary.
Titan Supply Chain Services launched
new sales division, Titan EMS.
TT electronics Kuantan, Malaysia’s
manufacturing facility received ISO 13485:2003 medical
certification.
Ultra Electronics Manufacturing &
Card Systems received NADCAP AC7120 for electronic and mechanical
assembly processes.
Victron named Sudarshan Bahl Director
of Quality and Regulatory Affairs. n
Jonathan Custer-Topai
WaltCuster walt@custerconsulting.com
Custer Consulting Group provides market research, business analysis, and forecasts for PCB fabrication and assembly, passive components, semicondustors, and the electronic equipment end markets. You can reach Walt by phone at 707-785-1777, email at walt@custerconsulting.com, Jon by email at jon@custerconsulting.com, or visit their Web site: www.custerconsulting.com.
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